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Old 10-26-2005, 01:42 PM
TomCollins TomCollins is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 172
Default Re: Another Insane Bodog Prop?

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It's not like the probability Texas loses is 0. If they're 95% in each of their remaining games, the chance they lose at least once (assuming games are independent) is over 14%. That's pretty significant.

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There is no way in hell Oklahoma State has even a 2% chance of beating Texas. What are the odds that the entire 1st and 2nd teams get food poisoning? Thats about the odds OK State has. Id say 99% chance of Texas winning.

Baylor, 95% is perhaps fair.
Kansas, 99%?
A&M, possibly 95% here?

So 8-1 that Texas loses?
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