Re: $33 Poll: 8 Left; 15/30 Blinds
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I believe not raising is playing post flop incorrectly.
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This is so unbeliveably wrong. You're trying to be fancy. You do not need to be fancy. I'm willing to guess that if you played made hands strongly, and played the bubble very well, and left out all the crap like "raising the flop with K-high" out of your game, you would be a very consistent winner. Why would I assume that? Because it's what I do.
Even if bluffing was important. You ask "how often does he have an 8." I ask you. "How often is the BB (who can have any two here), bet out the 2/3 the pot with 2 players left to act on a pure bluff."
I can just about guarantee you the answer to your question is a higher percentage than the answer to my question.
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I agree with this.
You said who would bet out with an 8? Well, who would raise with an 8? I think most would slow play and call ->check/raise turn. So your raise may equally be taken for a bluff.
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