Re: 10/20: blind defense part 2 - KQs
Hey Jfresh,
My understanding is that the turn card changes lots of things. Firstly, hands that were calling us down may now fold because of the scare card, so we lose some equity on value-bets. Secondly, villain will often try to bluff or semibluff raise us because we represented a pair on the flop which will usually not have an A in the hand b/c we flatcalled preflop. However, we don't particularly relish the thought of calling down a raise.
So, we check. Aggressive players will rarely take the free card even with a flush draw, because of our blatant show of weakness. If they do, and we check the river, they will often bluff at the river with a missed draw which makes up somewhat for the free card.
Also, hands liek small PPs that may have folded the turn may bet it to take a free showdown, while drawing to only 2 outs.
In your example (JT on T62A board) the same line applies. The only hand that has 2 overcards to us is KQo, which has 9 outs to win. Any other is either reverse dominated (KJ) or only has 1 overcard (Q9) so a free card is again not very risky.
Surf
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