Re: JJ
I think you played this hand fine, cap flop is a bit extreme.
If either UTG or MP has clubs with an overcard he has about equal equity to you and if he as two under cards with clubs you are a decent favorite. If one of them has 2 pair or a set your a fairly well behind. So I would say that the cap on the flop has little to no EV.
I think the turn is the toughest spot. I we are ahead, I would hate to give them a free chance to beat me. This gives us 4 scenarios when we bet:
They both fold: No way this is happening
UTG C/R'ed and MP cold calls: I think we can call and reconsider the river. If the board paired or a paint club fell I would be tempted to call one.
UTG C/R'ed and MP folds: I would get to showdown no matter what fell on the river.
UTG calls and MP C/R'ed: I think you can fold this, you have got to be behind and and who knows if you club is good.
UTG calls and MP folds: Bet the river.
UTG calls and MP calls: Bet the river.
If at anytime the turn gets 3-bet by MP this is an easy fold.
Hope you won,
Joe
|