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Old 10-25-2005, 04:56 AM
raptor517 raptor517 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 7
Default Re: Why I hate \"Look at my 500-SNG penis\" posts

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Furthermore, for the sake of demonstration, imagine if every 2+2 poster was actually a LOSING poker player. Assume for a moment that we all had a "true" expected ROI of -9%

I asked our resident Monte Carlo simulator expert to plug-in a -9% ROI for every registered 2+2 user and have them play 500 SNGs.

How many "winners" would there be? 3703
Would somebody have a 20% or better ROI? Yep


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Well, this is just wrong. The chance that you'd come out with 3703 winners is really small, and it isn't certain that any of them would have a 20% or better ROI. I assume you did one simulation and came up with this, but this conclusion is just horribly presumptuous.

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Actually I believe Irie's figures are pretty close to correct on this matter.

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i second that notion. these numbers are pretty spot on. holla
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