Re: Meta and Future Value
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this is terrible. There is more than one hand he can have that he thought 'bad beat' you that in fact are no good. AJ, J7, and J9 would all think they are good.
Of course he probably has a flush, but the above plus the chances he is just messing with you make this a must call. Folding here is pretty bad.
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I have to believe he has a flush at least 88% of the time for a fold to be correct. My read says he has a flush about...oh...just shy of 100% of the time. Two pair does not a bad beat make. Remember, I could have AA or AJ and I would have played the hand the same way. And he knows it.
Edit: I'm not really interested in whether people think I should call this river. It was highly read-dependent and I knew I was beat. But what about the other questions I posed?
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