Re: a tight flop spot in the big blind hand quiz
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MP bets after limp/calling preflop. he likely has the spade draw/pair + draw/naked 9/ naked T if hes really bad/T+pair. many of these hands you dont want there. the spade draw wont fold. but a hdn like K7s will likely fold for 2 cold. further, the CO could easily be raising overs in position for a free card or has a pair. I think you have enough equity here to warrant getting the pot HU and cleaning up outs to raise.
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Given that you're at least going to call, you don't have to gain much to make the marginal benefit of tossing in that extra bet for the raise +EV.
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regardless of priors, you dont have to gain much to make the marginal benefit of the extra sb +ev.
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Still, do you think any of those hands, besides the K7, is folding for two more?
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you can fold out hands like T+pair that thought it was clearly ahead of the CO raiser if CO was on overs so instead of giving the CO a chance to take a free card, MP decided to bet. folding out a T clears up 9s as outs if CO is on Ahigh overs or a hand like A8s.
given MP open limped, he can have a large range of hands that hit this flop that may include a T or another 9, some of which may fold for 2 back.
Barron
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