Re: Is Mankind Smart Enough?
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Once AI equivalent to the intelligence of a person is developed,
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I don't think you realize how huge a leap this will be considering we know closer to 0% than 5% about how human intelligence works. I think there is a strong chance that bioligical systems adapt at optimal rates already, so beating them will be nearly impossible. I think it may take us longer to develop human level AI than nature took. What intelligence can we make? We can't even make intelligence at the level of retarded bacteria. We are still basically at zero AI. I will grant you that once we get AI at the human level, we will improve quickly, I just don't think we will ever get there. I think the extinction of the human race will come before we see a computer 1 billionth as intelligent as a human. Currently, computers have zero percent of human intelligence so if they improve by a factor of 100000000000000000000 they will still have 100% of the way to go (rough estimate but probably much closer than anyone else will give you).
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