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Old 10-23-2005, 11:44 AM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,636
Default Re: Losing 27 blackjack hands in a row

[ QUOTE ]
I get the odds to be ..49^27

This just happened to me on party, and using between 5 and 25 dollar bets I just lost 400 dollars.... I got a few ties in there, like when I double my 11 to the dealers 6, get a 6, and the dealer flips an ace, this happened at least 4 or 5 times, which was better than the under card always being a 5 and the facecard always coming when I had 20

.49^27 = .00000043% or 1 in 231 million ... Sweet, is this the right calculation more or less, or do ties have something to do with it

[/ QUOTE ]

Assuming you lose about 48%, win 43%, and push 9%, then you will lose about 52.7% of your non-pushed hands, so if you lost 27 non-pushed hands in a row, that would be 0.527^27 =~ 1 in 32 million non-pushed hands. If you make this 49% losers to 42% winners, this drops to 1 in 18 million non-pushed hands, so it's fairly sensitive to your exact win rate.
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