[deception5]

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why do u think a fold is better? button raise here is automatic with a range that often doesnt include a or k especially if aggressive, the donkbet seems like an attempt to show hes not afraid of the A and K and that u better have something good, often meaning he has garbage and doesnt want to c/r as it would commit to much to the pot if hero did have a hand. Also if it is slightly -EV to call down isnt that made up for when villian shows hand?

[/ QUOTE ]

The pot is only 3.5BB on the turn so a bluff would have to work 33% of the time. There are 3 broadway cards on the board. After raising preflop and betting the flop he has to expect that this hit us in some way and there's a reasonable chance we have at least a gutshot if not a pair or 2.

Also he didn't call that flop bet with nothing (or if he did it's now a 1.5BB bluff).