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Does your average 2+2er win 10% of pots?

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Pretty close. I run around 9%. And yes, the rake is almost always capped. 6 people to the flop is $18. 4 people to the turn = $30...max rake hit.

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Also consider that a better player will find better opportunities to take down pots with rags uncontested.

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Bhahahahahhaha! Oh, good one. *wipes tears from his eyes*. Ah, that was funny.

No pot goes uncontested at 3/6 live. Everything has at least one player who calls down. Usually multiple players. There is no picking up a pot through bluff. It's purely a value bet situation.