Thread: 2/4 AA
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Old 10-20-2005, 03:42 PM
jason_t jason_t is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Another downswing?
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Default 2/4 AA: an attempt at an analysis

Let's start being a little more analytical and a little less "omg you bad terrible spewing LAG."

AA - 1
KK - 6
QQ - 6
JJ - 3
TT - 3
88 - 1
22 - 3 (discounted heavily, say .5)
AJ - 6 (discounted due to action with lack of LAG read, say 1.5)
A8 - 4 (discounted because he might only raise A8s, say 1.5 (it would help if I remembered the color of my As))
JT - 12 (discounted because he might only raise JTs, say 3)
Q9 - 16 (discounted heavily since he might only raise Q9s and it's a little light anyway, say 2)
79 - 16 (discounted heavily since he might only raise Q9s and it's a little light anyway, say .5)

Ahead of .5 + 6 + 6 + 3 + 1.5 = 17 and behind 3 + 3 + 1 + .5 + 1.5 + 2 + .5 = 11.5. Now 17/28.5 = 60% with this range that I am ahead. The lack of turn cap makes me feel a little more confident that I'm ahead. So I 3-bet.
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