Re: Turn decision
I thought this was an interesting hand. Given the limper's call/cap, what range of hands do we put him on? I was thinking oesd/flush draw/2 pair/set. I can't imagine any "decent player" playing an ace this way against a preflop raiser who has made it clear he has an ace - with the possible exception of AK.
We were behind 2-pair or a set the flop and the turn put us behind one of the possible oesd's and a possible flush.
With the exception of AK or 64 we are behind on the turn. I also think it's unlikely (although not impossible) that villian would limp in with the cards for an oesd. I think betting this turn gets you check/raised 95% of the time (or possibly check/called if villian is worried about "losing customers" with a flush) and there is a reasonable chance of improving if we check (any K/9/A/possibly 7 may put us ahead of 2 pair). The real question imho is whether to call the river bet if we do not improve as the only hand that we hope to see is AK and we're only splitting against that.
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