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Old 10-20-2005, 10:02 AM
psuasskicker psuasskicker is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 91
Default Re: 22 bottom set on dry board heavy action

i would expect anyone with 88 to milk it a bit.

Why bother, if you're MP? You have an OOP PFR and a cold caller that's shown a willingness to play. I'd definitely hit that flop with 88 in MP's shoes, precisely because most will expect 88 won't give the action right off the bat. If SB has AK or AA he'll likely make the move he made; and I definitely don't put the first cold caller on KK.

Doyle says he can get off flopped sets. If there's any situation you can do it, this might be close. Problem is that you're sandwiched between these two. MP could easily have raised with KQ; you don't know if he'll call the two all ins or not. And SB could easily be on AK or AA. Because of that, I think you've gotta call.

[Edit: Sorry, messed up my situation]
A more interesting question IMO had been if it went: Bet, you raise, MP goes all in, button folds, SB calls, you ???
There you might be able to find a fold, depending on how much you've already committed and what you think of the players.

Once MP calls, I would expect to lose this pot 50% of the time or more unless he's a moron.

- C -
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