Re: This probably isn\'t even worth a second bullet
The pot is very small.
Even if you say villain defends with 70% of his hands and peels the flop with every one of them, you still have around 40% equity here.
Now factor in that he folds most of these hands on the flop if he has not connected because the board sure looks like it hit you in some way almost every time. Then your equity against his range looks even A LOT worse.
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