[gaming_mouse]

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Should have been more explicit--Betting vs. Check-raising.

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but does justin always bet an A high hand on this turn? rather, does he have AND bet/fold A high here often enough for a c/r to be profitable (ie, 28% of the time)?

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he doesnt ahve to fold it 28% of the time cuz mike will often draw out even when justin calls.

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Sure, but note that I wasn't saying he must fold 28% of the time. He must bet/fold 28% of the time. Since he will sometimes check behind, he must fold more than 28% of the time.

Also, we are giving up some fold equity, presumably, by choosing to try for a c/r instead of betting. There are 3 separate questons then:

1. Is a turn bet +EV?
2. Is a turn c/r +EV?
3. If they are both +EV, which is more so?

EDIT: These comments are less relevant in light of Jeff's comments about his turn check being a mistake.