Re: Monte Carlo Hand
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You should check-call on fourth street. You're a dog to most hands he could have, so you're losing money with every bet you put in the pot.
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I don't think so. If he has indeed got three-of-a-kind on fourth street, you are indeed a dog (58/42). But, you're just as big a favorite against two-pair and a monster favorite if he's got buried Aces. I think he'll have less than trips a large % of the time.
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
AdKdQdJd 209660 41.93 290340 58.07 0 0.00 0.419
6s6c6h5h 290340 58.07 209660 41.93 0 0.00 0.581
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
AdKdQdJd 288764 57.75 211236 42.25 0 0.00 0.578
5s6c6h5h 211236 42.25 288764 57.75 0 0.00 0.422
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
AdKdQdJd 323582 64.72 176398 35.28 20 0.00 0.647
AsAh6h5h 176398 35.28 323582 64.72 20 0.00 0.353
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