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We should examine all deities and after-life-judges to see which has the most +EV (best reward if belived in, worst punishment if not), and then believe in that one. From what I know, the Christian God is pretty high on the list...

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Now, I'm no expert on all religions, but it seems as if christianity has the worst punishment. I might stand corrected on that, but it's probably up there on the 'worst punishment' list. Islam is probably number one on the best reward. Eternal bliss AND virgins.