Re: sam farha vs. (unknown) day1 wsop
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Right. And even taking this fact into account it's still +EV. Haven't we been over this? Are you advocating NEVER playing any hands for set value because there's always a possibility of set-over-set? Or only not to do it when it represents the huge chunk of your stack that is 4%?
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The play is worth 63 chips, and that's assuming you can avoid set-over-set 100% of the time.* Keeping your big stack at a time when nobody else has a big stack and everybody is playing as tight-weak as they probably ever will is worth much, much more in overall $EV than the extra 63 chips.
If you still don't get it, reread my posts, because I'm not going to explain it again. Best of luck.
*edit: using gergery's numbers, if you can avoid set-over-set 40% of the time (a pretty good percentage, if Dan Harrington is to be believed), the play is -EV.
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