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Old 10-16-2005, 04:34 AM
Subfallen Subfallen is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 25
Default Re: tricky one, well maybe not.

It seems that the flop+turn action pretty much define your hand as a drawing hand. Any 1 or 2-pair hands I can think of would have either 3-bet the flop or led the turn. You would cap the turn with a straight.

So if you bet the river, I think he'll believe you either just hit your straight or are bluffing. In this case there's not enough value for him justify raising any non-K hand. And the vast majority of the time he already has a made hand good enough to catch bluffs, so he probably won't consider bluff-raising himself.

Thus bet-fold looks good.
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