Re: Theory: Gigabet\'s \"bands\" and \"The Finch Formula\" Grand Unificati
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I really don't understand? Doubling up oin the first hand in a 100 person tournament should increase your chances of winning by 100%, and thus make them 2%.
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Not quite. Your stack is not exactly 2Q, as Q has increased by the elimination of one player. The new Q is T/(N-1) where T is the total chips in play, and N is the starting number of players. Your stack after doubling is 2T/N, which is slightly smaller than 2Q after the elimination.
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This will however not increase your EV by 100%, assuming the tournament isn't winner take all.
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As I've said repeatedly, I'm not calculating EV. Just estimating odds of winning.
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