Re: Theory: Gigabet\'s \"bands\" and \"The Finch Formula\" Grand Unificati
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You double up on the first hand. So now, according to your formula, your chances of winning have doubled to 2%.
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Per his formula, your chances of winning would be a bit less than 2%, he "cheated" when he calculated the double up case here:
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Now, Let's say you double up early, and have ~2q chips.
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you'd actually have a bit less than 2q since your doubling increased Q, the net affect is your probability of winning increases by just a tad under a double
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Exactly. I fudged it a little for simplicity. Despite this, I still think it's a little high.
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