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Old 10-11-2005, 01:49 PM
RED FACE RED FACE is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 125
Default Re: Brief thought on big hands on draw-heavy boards

Thanks for your help Matt. I know the point of your post was playing from the set perspective - one can't just assume he's against a str8 flush draw.

But from the str8 flush draw perspective if set wont fold to potential str8 on turn he wont fold to potentail flush either, right? Doesn't this mean that the draw should always call and never fold and never push?

If the draw is actually against pocket A's or K's instead of a set then I think it's better to push for fold value while draw is in a slight lead.

At this point, maybe the draw figures he's up against,
a set 47% of the time
over pair, tptk 47% of the time (fold value for pushing)
a semibluff 6% of the time (fold value here too maybe).
If this is even approximately accurate do we come back to the draw pushing every time?

thanks
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