[NoChance]

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2 - the Patriots are a bigger mystery. They ran like hell against an (allegedly) very good defensive team IN Atlanta. The week before the Chargers owned them. The week before that they beat the Steelers. Again, I'm staying away from the champs unless a line jumps out and bites me.

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I keep telling everyone but nobody listens. The Steelers played a horrible game against the Patriots. The Patriots tried to give the game away and the Steelers refused to take it. Take a good look at the Patriot games this year. They beat a very poor Oakland team as expected. They got beat soundly against Carolina. They beat the Steelers on the last drive when the Steelers played a bad game (admittedly the Patriots played bad as well though). They got crushed by Chargers. They beat the Vick-less Falcons on the last drive of the game that probably should have been a drive to tie the game because of the blown call on that sidline play that 'probably' would have given the Falcons at least a field goal. They could easily be 1-4 right now.

I'm not saying they are a bad team. I am saying things have mounted up against them with a tough schedule and tons of injuries. Some things are just too hard to overcome.

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1 - The Chargers are a good team, but they are not the ATS monster that they were last year. They have very large holes in the 2ndary (3 plays, 71 seconds, TD for the Steelers???). I'm a fan of the Chargers so I'm staying away anyhow, but I'm having a really hard time figuring out who the real Chargers are? The Champ Killers of last week or the self killers of this week (no offense Steeler fans, your guys played a fantastic game, but the Bolts had WAY too many penalties in the game and still almost won the game) - they are an enigma and I'd stay away here.

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The Chargers could be 5-0 right now. They have been in every game. However, I think they have one of the toughest schedules in the NFL this year. They will be in every game but I am guessing they may not make the playoffs because of their schedule.

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5 - Denver might be for real. Other than the turd in week 1 AT Miami (can an NFL team take another NFL team lightly and if so, would that actually affect the outcome? If so, that's what I'm blaming the week1 debacle on) the Broncs have posted 4 SOLID wins. The problem is that they are only 2-1-1 ATS in that stretch (though I really think the Redskins line was a bad one). I think I'm staying away in wk6 because they host the Pats, but otherwise I'm looking for good things from them (god help me, I just showed confidence in Jake Plummer).

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I think Denver is for real unless the fall behind and have to rely on Plummer. They are a very good team when they have the lead. All great running teams are like that. It's very difficult to catch up to teams like Pittsburgh, Kansas City, Atlanta, San Diego, and Denver when you fall behind. I think the line is wrong again this week and Denver should be favored more like -5 or -6 this week.