View Single Post
  #27  
Old 10-09-2005, 10:37 PM
microbet microbet is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Southern California
Posts: 1,360
Default Re: ($27) Call an allin with a draw?

call and win = .21
fold = .0975

.21 * x = .0975
x = .46

If he has a ten you are 40-46% to win depending on suits.

If he has trips you are 25.5% to win.

If he is bluffing you can have up to about 86% to win.

IMHO, his action and his stack make a bluff more likely than trips and his other possible hands make your call OK. So, call on that basis.

The preflop raise is fine IMHO as long as you don't think anyone (SB mainly) is pushing preflop with a fairly wide range. BUT, if SB will push with ANY two or something crazy, you are fine with getting it all in preflop.
Reply With Quote