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Old 10-09-2005, 08:26 PM
Student Caine Student Caine is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 2
Default If collusion were possible

So if collusion were possible it looks like we would just need to know that the number of black cards out was greater than the number of red cards out to make it +EV:

Assume 10 people seated and we know all 20 hole cards.

If 9 hole cards are red and 11 hole cards are black then our formula would be:

Card 1: 17/32 = 53.13%
Card 2: 16/31 = 51.61%
Card 3: 15/30 = 50.00%

Our new product: 53.13% * 51.61% * 50.00% = 13.71%

Converting to odds we get 6.29:1

So basically we would just need to pick red or black based upon how many red and black cards were dealt preflop.

Anyways, thanks for the confirming reply. I'll let this thing die as I am sure it's not nearly as interesting as the "Did I extract maximum value out of my flopped Quads" posts that I make. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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