[threeonefour]

[ QUOTE ]
I agree that the A might not be an out, but the 3 almost always will be.

[/ QUOTE ]

so you are saying him having two pair is much more likely then a set? which makes sense since its harder to flop a set than two pair.

EDIT: i am still not convinced this original line is best. seems like a bad spot to be in. well +EV but not maxEV.

some pokerstove results for what its worth (note the only 'bluff' hand is AKo and AKs which is probably not realistic)

also noteworthy is the fact that hands like AK or QT (the ones you beat) might fold to the turn allin whereas AA QQ etc aren't going anywhere.



2,288 games 0.047 secs 48,680 games/sec

Board: Ac Qh Th 3s
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 45.3234 % [ 00.45 00.00 ] { Ah3h }
Hand 2: 54.6766 % [ 00.54 00.00 ] { AA, QQ, TT, AKs-AQs, ATs, KJs, QTs, AKo-AQo, ATo, KJo, QTo }