Re: 1/2 6max. - turned set completes FD
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I'm betting the turn here because I might be ahead of a king here, but he could have a heart kicker so i'm protecting my hand.
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The following is far from accurate, but let's say she has king 1/3 of the time. Let's say she has 1 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] in her hand 4/9 of the time and an additional [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] will river 9/44 of the time.
Cobined this is 3%.
3% of the time we are protecting a 55$ pot. Is this really worth giving away substantial equity on a huge pot in case she allready flushed? Not to talk about additional riverequity from a K if no heart rivers.
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No offense but you are WAAAAAAAAAAAAAY underestimating the amount of time he has a king here......he has to have a reason for calling on the flop and i think it's closer to 50/50 on king flush draw, maybe even more towards the king side because people call preflop raises with kings more than they do with sc's.
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Maybe, but she might just test the waters with a flop call with any piece of the board (remember she knows I am almost auto C-betting).
If she is really 50% to have a K, well, then we are talking about a 5% scenario instead of 3 %.
EDIT: and the more often she has a K, the more often we have added value on the river...
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