Thread: ATo vs Flop C/R
View Single Post
  #7  
Old 10-06-2005, 05:17 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 96
Default Re: ATo vs Flop C/R

You should fold the turn.

It takes some ambitious calculation to get the necessary odds to draw to your gutshot or a possibly good T or A.

Hand-reading also really helps here. When I get check-raised on a J high board by a 13/4 villain UTG+1, I'm thinking that I'm up against AJ a very high percentage of the time, and KJs another very high percentage. I would say that the substantial majority of the time you are either drawing to 2 clean outs + chop outs (against AJ) or at least one of your gutshot outs is tied up in your opponent's hands. I think 4 outs is about the most you can figure here and that may be pushing it, and you don't have the odds to get there, particularly because you'll sometimes be half-hitting (like an A on the end) and still losing.
Reply With Quote