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Old 10-06-2005, 01:32 PM
xJMPx xJMPx is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
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Default Comments and Results

Based on the comments I get I have come to the following conclusion. This play is totally read dependent.

If I think this is a decent player who'll only call with a very strong holding such as QQ+/AK then I'd push this hand.

However, if this player is a donky (which I thought he was) I should fold this because he could call with a large range of hands. Most of which I am way ahead of, however not so far ahead (i.e., 70/30) that I want to be putting my tournament life in jeopardy on the bubble and sacrificing $EV even though it's a +cEV.

Calling is also an option, and dumping the hand if overs appear on the flop, pushing if there are no overs.

Results:

HERO raises (1910) to 2060
HERO is all-In.
Villain calls (1360) (after a long pause)
** Dealing Flop ** : [ 7s, Kh, 6s ]
** Dealing Turn ** : [ 3h ]
** Dealing River ** : [ 4h ]
Villain shows [ 5s Ks ] [ a straight ]
HERO shows [ Jd Jh ] [ a pair of jacks ]

So I was offering him exactly 33% pot odds, while he had a hand that was 32.1% (pokerstove). Gutzy (wink) call. He went on the win the tournament.
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