[Zetack]

[ QUOTE ]
Suppose you are an above-average player in WPT-type, four-day, 500-or-so player, NLH events. Suppose your expected win rate is about once in 250 events (twice the average).

Now suppose that you are given the magical power of knowing the hole cards of every player at your table for every hand throughout the tournament. Nobody else has this power and nobody knows that you have it. What would this do to your expected win rate?

I've thought about this off & on for a few days without coming up with an elegant or comprehensive way to approach it. My instinct is that you'd increase your chances by a factor in the 3-5 range. The most common recurring benefits would be to keep you on the proper side of all the 55/45-type decisions that arise, and to make you bluff-proof. Only rarely would you get away from the wrong side of set-over-set or know to call with your pocket 3s when someone move-in preflop with pocket 2s.

Does anyone have any thoughts on how to approach this, or any intuitive reactions about the likely answer?

Bob Feduniak <font color="white"> </font>

[/ QUOTE ]

Well its hard to say with your example because you are postulating a player who simply isn't that good.

I think the advantage for a very good player is astonishingly high.

I think a good player would make the money an incredibly high percentage of the time, the final table somewhere in the 40-50 percent of the time range, and win the tournament 20-30 percent of the time.

And quite frankly I think those estimates are low.

Just think about how you'd play if you could see the other player's hole cards.

--Zetack