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  #39  
Old 10-05-2005, 03:50 AM
Exitonly Exitonly is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 3
Default Re: Yes, I limped UTG with 10 BBs

Alright, gonna take a stab at doing the math for this.


Since it's 7 handed i'll make calling ranges a little loose.

77+,AJs+,AJo+, calls the push, which is 7% of hands.

65% it folds to your push.

So pushing, no matter what you have, wins 3700, 65% of the time.

3700 * .65 = 2405


88

When called, 88 will have 42% equity.

.42 * 23287 = 9780.54
.58 * -19587 = -11360.46

-1579.92 * .35 = -552.97

2405 - 552.97 = +1852 chips on average... Pretty good.


22

When called 22 will have 35% equity

so .35* 23287 = 8150
.65* -19587 = -127331

= -4581

2405 - 4581 = -2176 chips on average.

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Eh? Guess 22's not as equal to 88 as i thought.
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