uggh. these spots are tricky but i'll take a shot. here are the facts as i see them.

1) you don't know if you're ahead but you might be.

2) getting check/raised here is the suck.

3) he's aggro enough that he might take a stab on the river with mp or a busted straight draw.

4) i don't think you're ahead very often if he calls you on the turn.

5) a free card might suck here but you really don't know if you're ahead or not.

checking behind and calling a river bet seems like a good idea to me.

thoughts?