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Old 10-04-2005, 03:59 AM
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Default Re: Misplayed Rockets anytime? 30/60 Party

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Everything looks fine except for the river bet. You played your hand well up until the river. With the SB 3 betting you before the flop and willing to 3 bet the flop, yet doesnt reraise you on the turn you can rule out JJJ, so he probably has QQ or KK. I would say 50/50. So when the Q falls on the river, you have to consider what % of the time you will be called and what % of the time you will be check raised with QQQ. 50% you will win a bet from KK, but 50% of the time you will be check raised with QQQ, in which you will have to call and lose 2 bets, for a net loss of 1 bet every time. So even though it looks like an even money bet or better, the possbility of being check raised with QQQ makes betting the river wrong. If the river card were anything other than a K or Q or a spade I probably would have bet. Every other thing you did in the hand was aggressive and well played.

-J

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bet river.
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