After pondering this all day, I absolutely hate my check on the turn, mainly due to the fact that I need these chips to get to the money.

At the time tho, I was thinking he would fold my bet on the turn, and if I checked, he might bluff at it on the river. 8 cards of 44 give me a tough decision on the river and at the time I was willing to risk it to try and get more chips from him.

So, there was an 18% chance an overcard would hit on the river. Was this worth the chance of getting more chips from him?