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Old 10-03-2005, 12:18 PM
Kyriefurro Kyriefurro is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 70
Default Pot-odds theory - AKs flops a big draw

Villain in this hand is an absolute maniac - 72/23/1.4 (river AF is 16.5!!!) who's been running over the table for a couple of hours now. He's very loose, and absurdly aggressive, betting and raising with complete garbage and going to showdown with any piece of the board. Lastly, he loves to bluff, and when he does he does it with absolutely nothing. He gets a charge out of seeing people fold out to him and either shows his hand or tells them (I always checked the HH to be sure he was telling the truth, and he was).

Relevant stacks:
Hero - 170.55
UTG - 436.67

Hero is BB w/ A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

Preflop: UTG <font color="red"> raises </font> to $2, MP calls, CO folds, Button folds, SB calls, Hero <font color="red"> raises </font> to $9, UTG calls, MP folds, SB folds.

($22) Flop <font color="blue"> (2 players) </font> : 4 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img],7 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Hero bets $21, UTG <font color="red"> raises </font> to $42, Hero calls.
<font color="green"> Based on villains play, I'm fairly confident that all six of my AK outs are clean, plus my 9 flush outs give me a total of 15 outs. Villain's raise gives me 4-1 odds, which is more than enough to call </font>

($106) Turn: J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Hero bets $50, UTG <font color="red"> raises </font> to $100, Hero calls
<font color="green"> Leading out on the turn is somewhat questionable. My thinking at the time was that if I checked to villain he was going to bet the pot (or more). If I lead out on the turn, there was a small chance he'd just call, and even if he raised, he'd only min-raise. So I had a chance at getting there for half price. I still have all 15 outs. I need 2.1-1 odds to call, I'm getting 5-1. </font>

($306) River: 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Hero bets $19.55 (all-in). UTG calls
<font color="green"> River is a terrible card for me. At this point the only thing I beat is a bluff. However, as I mentioned before, villain loves to bluff, and the pot is giving me &gt;15-1, which is much better than villain's bluffing frequency. </font>

I really really hated this hand. The emotional part of myself thinks I played this terribly. The logical part isn't so sure.

Flame me, please? [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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