Re: KQo, should I 3-bet this turn?
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What if we consider the whole risk two bets to win one bet thing? Ie. If I have him beat I will most likely win one extra bet. If he has me beat he's capping the turn and I'll lose two bets. Do you really think I'm ahead 2/3 of the time here? His line screams a minimum of two pair, and with this board, aside from KJ and QJ I mentioned before, I'm struggling to find other hands that he could have which I have beat.
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I think you're misusing the concept of "risk two to win one", but i'm not sure exactly what you're trying to say.
The big issue here is this: top two pair is a big hand here, and you are ahead a large percent of the time. He can be raising with any number of hands that you beat (KJ/QJ/K3s/Q3s/J3s/pair that picked up a flush draw). Raise raise raise!
If Villain caps the turn, then you can start worrying that he has some enormous hand. But this is an easy, easy 3-bet.
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