Re: overplaying against a LAG?
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His numbers aren't that lag.
4 is high, sure, and because of it I don't have a huge problem going this many bets. BUT, once he caps the flop, you have to put him on either 2 pair or AA or KK. I'd prob go 3 on the turn as well, but you def got carried away on the river.
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I disagree about 4 not being LAG. With a VPIP of 35, that number may be artificially low. Maybe his WtSD would be useful here to see if the high aggression is more betting or more folding based.
I'd put his range on the flop at 2-pair, 55, JT, or AK, with AA and KK being possible, but unlikely. He not only didn't raise pre-flop, but he also didn't limp re-raise. I'm starting to worry about that bigger set when he caps the turn-- not before.
I think I'd check/call the river: After the turn cap he could have 55 (3 combos), KK (3), KQ(3), AA (3), AK (9), or, JT (16). We're ahead of 15 and behind 22.
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