[goofball]

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How conservative are we talking here? If he's conservative preflop then there aren't a lot of hands in his range that you beat, like zero. If you think he'll play 89s, the I can understand how you might think your in the lead here (I see that as the only hand your beating, assuming he needs 2pair to raise the turn, you did say conservative).

That river card probably didn't help, but I would hate to get 3 bet. I think 1-2 bets on the river is better than 2 and fold to a third, so i'd lead and call a raise. My river play blows though, so take that advice w/ a grain of salt...

lf

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I'm not sure how conservative because he hasn't been at the table long. I'm inclined to believe he's always doing his betting for value is abotu as far this read took me.