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Old 09-28-2005, 10:28 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 96
Default Re: How much action on the river?

S...

I'm raising and calling a three-bet.

Basically, villain's range is basically made up of AQ, KQ, maybe QJ, and 88. Q8 is somewhat of a possibility, though that's pushing it for the standard hijack raising range of a 16/10 type. Q9 similarly, plus for obvious "we have all the 9s" reasons. AA is a very outside possibility, as is a very overplayed JT... He's betting the river with all of these. Since 88 and KQ together clearly make up a greater portion of his range than AQ, I think we need to put in a raise at the river.

If he caps, we can pretty easily eliminate KQ and JT. 88 may not three-bet either. AQ becomes very much the most likely hand at that point, in my opinion. I don't see value in a cap.
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