Re: Stars 20+2 hand - pre-flop pot odds/implied odds
well first, you can't use
[ QUOTE ]
I figure I have about 28% equity against SB and UTG+1 if I put them both on Sklansky/Malmuth groups 1-4. If I narrow SB to groups 1 and 2, I am about 25%.
[/ QUOTE ]
that stuff now, that's your value when seeing all 5 cards, so it really doesnt help you now. What you need is the odds of hitting a set (7.x:1, for this we'll use 8:1).
The odds the pot is offering you now are 3.1:1, to make a call +ev you need to be able to get that up to 8:1 w/ implied odds. Which means you'll have to take around 1200 from the villains when you hit your 5, and lose nothing else when you don't.
From the looks of it, i think you might be able to get paid off, and your stack will still be alright when you miss... i probably call here.
|