Re: how many pitcher vs. batter at bats are significant?
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In fact I'm not really sure it's been proven that certain hitters actually outperform or underperform their projections against individual pitchers at all (other than by random luck).
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C'mon. Obviously Joe Blow, on average, is going to outperform his career average against Joe Blow and underperform against Roger Clemens.
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You misinterpreted what I said. The "outperform" stat is based on what a hitter with Joe Blow's stats would be expected to do against a pitcher with Roger Clemen's stats (adjusted for handedness). Adjustments are made for the quality of pitcher of course.
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