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Old 09-28-2005, 01:35 AM
Exitonly Exitonly is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 3
Default Re: When to go against your plan?

Well on this specific hand like i said i think i botched it.

I was fairly sure i was getting called if i pushed.. and i'm not sure why i didn't want that especially since i don't think any yhand that beats me raises 5x BB at this stage in the tournament. But i figured i'd have 25BB left if an A or K came, and if it didn't the i'd have 40+BB.

On second thought.. i may have taken the better line. +10BB 60% -5BB 40%.. instead of +30BB 55% -30BB 45%. ..

just calling would be +4 BB, while All in PF would be +3bb.
And, just calling would have much lower variance.

Though, that's assuming A) i have no FE preflop. b) He always has AK, like if the board came Q86 and i check raise all in.. and he has AQ well that sucks. ..

so i'd guess that since assumption B isn't very good.. the palys are pretty similar EV wise, and since just calling has a lower variance.. it might be better.
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