Re: Is this really correct?
I don't like it, but I think you have to pay off on the river. Q-Q-A-J-J is another possibility for your opponent--he's played this pretty cautiously.
I'm not sure that I like checking on 5th, but it's close. I'm pretty aggressive, so I rarely like giving up the lead on the betting unless I'm pretty sure that I will be raised--I always try to make the bets myself that I'll have to call anyways.
This is a case where the fact that it's probably mathematically correct to chase and hope to fill up might be hurting you. If it weren't correct to chase, the best play would be to bet out on 5th and fold to a raise. Instead you have to spend two bets calling to chase, assuming that you need to fill to win. I still like value calling on the river.
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