Re: $55 bubble play
[ QUOTE ]
Well, I'm too slow to figure out all the ramifications of your strategy.
For my approach, let's assume that if you fold, SB puts BB all-in (with two random hands) and that first place is out of reach for hero.
Half the time, you are guaranteed third and have a good shot at second.
Half the time, you are the middle one of three medium stacks, and have a 2/3 chance of ITM (with a good shot at second).
So, folding gives you 85% ITM, maybe 40% of those are seconds, say overall 35% second, 50% third, 15% OOTM.
So, if you can argue that your strategy is better than that (with A8, remember), I'll be convinced.
[/ QUOTE ]
your assumption that SB puts BB all-in is so far off that I didnt even bother to read the rest.
FWIW, if I were SB here and it was folded to me, Id fold most hands and push the next two...thats a lot more chips...actually twice as much.
|