Re: $55 bubble play
Well, I'm too slow to figure out all the ramifications of your strategy.
For my approach, let's assume that if you fold, SB puts BB all-in (with two random hands) and that first place is out of reach for hero.
Half the time, you are guaranteed third and have a good shot at second.
Half the time, you are the middle one of three medium stacks, and have a 2/3 chance of ITM (with a good shot at second).
So, folding gives you 85% ITM, maybe 40% of those are seconds, say overall 35% second, 50% third, 15% OOTM.
So, if you can argue that your strategy is better than that (with A8, remember), I'll be convinced.
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