Re: $55 bubble play
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Interesting and sophisticated idea.
Maybe too sophisticated.
There are many scenarios, but the problem is that, if you fold or lose, you are down to $1050 or $925, with $600 in blinds coming your way.
I just see no reason to get involved here with a borderline hand, for the reasons stated well by an earlier poster.
If I was one of the other two stacks besides the big one and I saw you put any money in the pot, I'd be jumping for glee.
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There's only one big stack here...you're the button.
I look at it this way, you're at around a 3-1 chip ratio with BB before posting, if he folds bc SB pushes over your call, you become a 10-1 ratio over BB, even though you lost 1/3 of your chips.
It comes down to this basically:
Play for better chance at 2nd also gives you a higher chance of 4th or,
Play for a very high probability of 3rd.
Because 1st is highly remote here, I am opting for the high chance of 3rd. Calling here assures that. In fact, if SB knows what he is doing, he should raise me, but I really don't mind. BB has 125 and is all in next hand and Ill call then too...Unless BB calls the raise, then I call too (even if he wins, I can win the side pot and stay alive)
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