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Old 09-26-2005, 12:23 PM
Hellmouth Hellmouth is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Basement of the science building
Posts: 220
Default Re: big pot, double belly, cold call

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I'm just basing my decision on the outs that you have and the size of the pot. You've got 2 overcards (3 outs) bdoor flush (1.5 outs) and gutshot (4 outs). 3+1.5+4=8.5 outs so you're getting 7.5 to one with 8.5 outs so you have to call. Even if you fear a reraise you'd still be getting 6 to one (a cap you'd get 5 to one) so you should call. With 8.5 outs here I think you've got about 34% pot equity (8.5 X 4) please correct me if I'm wrong. That would make me say that you should reraise.

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I dont think that his over cards are outs since I would put villin on AA-QQ a large portion of the time. Plus it is possible that villian had a pocket pair and hit trips. The only real outs to a raised flop seem to me to be the straight (double gutshot so 8 outs not four) and the flush.

Greg
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