Re: It\'s a big flop.
These situations are brutal...with this many people on the flop you are almost certainly up against an Ace.
The fact that MP2 has just bet tells you that he has something and with the board totally uncoordinated (except for the possibility of a gutshot straight) you are most likely up against some Ace.
The fact that UTG has just checked means one of two things:
1) He has a smaller pocket pair.
2) He has a set of Aces (*maybe* AK) and will either be check raising here or on the Turn.
This pot is huge, I am talking family size...this is one of those rare instances where you are actually getting odds to draw to your set. You get these odds here, but you won't probably won't get them on the turn, so my line is to get to the Showdown as cheaply as possible and maybe spike a King along the way (one can only hope), so I raise here. If I get my King on the turn I am pumping in bets. If I miss my King and it checks to me then I check through and call the River bet (hoping there is only one).
If anyone reads this and thinks that I am crazy please tell me so...that way when I wind up here I don't actually do this. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
EDIT:
I need to add that any aggressive action by UTG makes me really, really queasy. I imagine that he is holding AA/KK/AKs/AKo(maybe)/QQ(maybe). If he goes crazy then he probably has a set of Aces or *maybe* AK, in which case we are drawing to 1 card - and the only way you hit one card is if you are HU against me (sorry, a little morbid, woe-is-me, bad beat huimor there). [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
EDIT EDIT:
Something else that a raise does here is, if anyone has a pocket pair you are forcing them to draw to a set with improper odds.
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