Re: Wow was FCP wrong
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It is impossible to know the EV of this hand because it is dependant on the probability that villain holds certain hands.
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It's possible to calculate the EV of this hand, at least from a Bayesian perspective.
We just need our probility weights for the range of hands our opponent could hold here. If we had a very large database of hands against the Villain (millions of hands) then we could see what he has held when done the same thing. If we haven't played the Villain much, then we can still make a rough estimate based on card frequencies and the average opponent. But that is all we can every do for EV since our opponents won't show us their hole cards.
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